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Suwanee, GA, Market Report, September 2010

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Market stats for Suwanee, GA, August, 2010 indicate that there are 598 properties on the market. Overall, there is about an 10 month supply of properties.  There was less that 8 months of inventory as recently as June, but sales are slowing even faster than inventory is shrinking.

In the sub-$200k arena, there are 144 listings, with about a 8.3 month supply.  In June, there was a 4.8 month supply.  Inventories have increased, until September, as sales have slowed... although sales for July and August (19 and 15) were exactly the same last year and at 18, there was only one less sale in September v last year.

Between $200k and $400k, there are 311 listings for sale, and 10.7 months of supply.  Sales for September 2010 were 30 compared with 39 for the same period in 2009.  Still weak, but much better than last month.

From $400k to $600k, there are 79 homes on the market. The absorption rate is at 9.1 months.  While 5 sales this year don't compare favorably with the 9 sales last year, the three month average is almost exactly the same (26 v 27).  There are fewer listings, though.

In the $600k to $800k arena, there are 26 listings, with about a 7.8 month supply.  We can look directly to a reduction in inventory for the drop in absorption rate from 45 months in February... sales are still slower than last year, and seem to be decelerating (1 this year v 4 last September).

The range from $800k to $1m, there are 13 homes listed and approximately 39 months of inventory on the market.  There has only been 3 sales at this price level this year (1 each in January, April and May).  Honestly, last year looked a little better, but not much.

Above $1m, there are 25 properties listed. The current absorption rate indicated about 18.8 months of inventory, but because of the smaller numbers of sales, this could be significantly impacted by just a couple of sales.  Again, we can thank reduced inventory for making the market look healthier.  But, in this segment, we should be seeing reduced inventories...

Suwanee, GA is a suburb of Atlanta in Gwinnett, Forsyth and (just a little bit) in Fulton Counties. The population is 2000 was 8,725, but that only included the area inside the city limits, and it had seen tremendous growth since that census.  Money Magazine rated Suwanee in the “Top 10 Best Places to Live” in 2007, and it is one of the wealthiest parts of Georgia. Recently, the City of Suwanee has revamped their old town, adding a large park with a bandshell, condos, town homes and small businesses. It is also home to North Gwinnett High School, Peachtree Ridge and Collins Hill.

I have a page dedicated to Suwanee Market Data.

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2 commentsLane Bailey - REALTOR & Car Guy • November 02 2010 08:23PM

Suwanee Market Report, December 2009

The whole year of 2009 was challenging in some segments.  In other segments, it has shown surprising resilience and strength.  Suwanee is one of the markets in Gwinnett County, GA, that has shown relative strength, even into the last quarter of 2009.  And it started off fairly strong.

Looking back over the last couple of months for Suwanee, GA, the market has moved...  The biggest thing has been the First Time Home Buyer Tax Credit.  It has had a GIANT pull on the market, and when it "expired" (it was renewed and expanded before it actually expired, but the effect seemed to expire) it solidified the direction of the market... as it did when it was enacted.

Let's knock out a few numbers...

  • There were 517 Listings as of 12/31/2009
  • December currently reports with 48 sales
  • The Absorption Rates for Lawrenceville break down as follows:
    • 12 month average - 7.94 months of inventory
    • 6 month average - 7.02 months of inventory
    • 3 month average - 7.25 months of inventory

The link above explains Absorption Rates more fully, but basically, it tells us how long it would take to sell all of the property on the market at the current rate.

Sales for Suwanee in December were down 36.8% compared to December 2008.  This was after November was up 85.7% year over year.  Days on Market also decreased by 8 days to 90 days.  One thing to keep in mind though is that there may still be sales that are unreported. 

By Segment...

The market is divided up into six segments.

Under $200k...

There were 96 listings and 14 sales in December.  Looking back the 12mo/6mo/3mo Absorption Rates were 5.5/4.9/4.5 months.  This is one of only a handful of locations/segments that has actually accelerated in sales in the third quarter.  Remember that 6 months on inventory is considered balanced... we have remained under that level when averaged out over the last year, two quarters and one quarter.  The Under $200k segment is the strongest.

$200k - $400k...

There were 256 listings and 19 sales in December.  The 12mo/6mo/3mo Absorption Rates were 7.4/6.3/6.6 months.  I also expected the First Time Home Buyer Tax Credit to have a little more impact on the 3mo rate, but sales remained steady.  The $200k - $400k segment has been realtively strong in 2009. 

$400k - $600k...

There were 79 listings and 7 sales in December.  The 12mo/6mo/3mo Absorption Rates were 9.4/9.3/9.9 months.  This segment shouldn't have been affected by the tax credit as lower priced homes.  That said, I didn't expect a decelleration in sales in the last quarter.  However, since this is a fairly affluent area, I shouldn't have been shocked by the overall strength.

$600k - $800k, $800k - $1m and Over $1m...

There were a total of 86 listings and 55 sales in the last 12 months.  The Absorption Rates can be calculated, but they really aren't very meaningful.  A couple of extra or missed sales make a big swing in the data.  Also, these homes are not likely to be affected by the old tax credit or the newer expanded tax credit.  Almost all of the Absorption Rates were over a year.  The strongest was the 6 mo average for homes in the $600k - $800k segment.  That slowed dramatically in the 4th Quarter.

There are still challenges in the market... and we'll have to see what January holds.

Click here to search Suwanee properties.

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0 commentsLane Bailey - REALTOR & Car Guy • January 21 2010 08:57PM