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Duluth, GA, Market Report, October 2010

Office building of NCR Corporation in Duluth, ...
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Preliminary stats for Duluth, October, 2010 indicated that there were 589 properties on the market. Overall, there is about an 10.5 month supply of properties.  Months of Inventory has been increasing for the last couple of months.  Sales in October were 360, compared to 63 a year earlier.  Don't forget, though, there was a tax credit slated to expire at the end of November last year that was spurring sales.

In the sub-$200k arena, there were 227 listings, with about a 9 month supply.  The Absorption Rate had gotten down into the high 4 month realm… and as recent as December, was in the low 5s.  In May, it was at 7.9 months and has been rising since, markedly in the last couple of months.  Sales for October were actually up this year v last year (35 v 30).

Between $200k and $400k, there are 168 listings for sale, and about 10.5 months of supply.  Sales decreased from 19 in 2009 to 14 in 2010.  Last month was a big decrease compared to previous months.  Inventory had been sliding downward, too, but rose slightly for October.

From $400k to $600k, there were 61 homes on the market. The absorption rate was around 8.3 months.  While sales haven't been super strong, they haven't been bad for this price segment, until October.  I keep looking back at the 5.65 month absorption rate in December... but this is still one of the better performing segments in Gwinnett County.

In the $600k to $800k arena, there were 52 listings, with about 13 months of supply.  Sales were 0 for September, 2010 v 4 last year and 6 in October 2010 v just 1 last year..  For the three months of Aug - Oct 2010 were 12 v 8 last year.  At this level, that is significant.

The range from $800k to $1m, there were 26 homes listed and approximately 19.5 months of inventory on the market.  Continuously falling inventories and increased sales are fueling the increasingly favorable Absorption Rate (it was 67.5 months in February).  However, for the last couple of months the absorption rate has been on the rise again.

Above $1m, there were 55 properties listed. The current absorption rate indicated about 23.6 months of inventory.  A couple of sales at this level could have a large impact on the Absorption Rates…  There were 7 sales in the Aug - Oct period this year, and 6 sales for the same time last year... but inventories have been dropping.

Duluth, GA is a suburb of Atlanta, in the heart of Gwinnett County. It actually straddles the county line and has unincorporated portions in South Forsyth County. The population of Duluth is estimated as about 26,000 people as of 2008, but this doesn’t include unincorporated areas outside the city limits, but with a Duluth mailing address. It is also home to Sugarloaf Country Club, a PGA stop until recently.  Forbes Magazine rated Duluth 26th in their nationwide survey of the best places to move, and it is one of the wealthiest parts of Georgia.  It is also home to the Arena at Gwinnett Center (Home of the ECHL Gwinnett Gladiators) and the Atlanta Thrashers practice facility (the Duluth Ice Forum). There is a LONG list of celebrities and athletes that call Duluth home, largely because of the country clubs and proximity to Atlanta.

I have a page dedicated to Duluth Market Information.

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5 commentsLane Bailey - REALTOR & Car Guy • November 26 2010 12:56PM

Duluth GA Market Report, January 2010

Duluth, GA is a suburb of Atlanta, in the heart of Gwinnett County. It actually straddles the county line and has unincorporated portions in South Forsyth County. The population of Duluth is estimated as about 26,000 people as of 2008, but this doesn't include unincorporated areas outside the city limits, but with a Duluth mailing address. It is also home to Sugarloaf Country Club, a PGA stop until recently.  Forbes Magazine rated Duluth 26th in their nationwide survey of the best places to move, and it is one of the wealthiest parts of Georgia.  It is also home to the Arena at Gwinnett Center (Home of the ECHL Gwinnett Gladiators) and the Atlanta Thrashers practice facility (the Duluth Ice Forum). There is a LONG list of celebrities and athletes that call Duluth home, largely because of the country clubs and proximity to Atlanta.

Kids on the rinkPreliminary stats for Duluth, January, 2010 indicated that there were 534 properties on the market. Overall, there is about an 11 month supply of properties, with a marked deceleration in sales.  Sales in January were 25, compared to 42 a year earlier.

In the sub-$200k arena, there were 149 listings, with about a 7 month supply.  But that shows a dramatic slowing.  The Absorption Rate had gotten down into the high 4 month realm... and as recent as December, was in the low 5s.  Sales dropped from 19 in 2009 to just 9 in 2010.

Between $200k and $400k, there are 163 listings for sale, and about 10 months of supply.  Sales dropped from 15 in 2009 to 11 in 2010, but inventories have also dropped.  The increase in Absorption isn't as bad...

From $400k to $600k, there were 46 homes on the market. The absorption rate was around 6 months.  That is largely on the strength of November and December sales... January was down one unit to 3.  Nov/Dec were up 4 to 19 sales.

In the $600k to $800k arena, there were 69 listings, with about 30 months of supply.  Again there is a marked slowing over the last few months...  But, in the Nov-Jan period there were 7 sales v 9 the prior year.

The range from $800k to $1m, there were 41 homes listed and approximately 31 months of inventory on the market.  The 3month average Absorption Rate shot up from 13.67 months to 30.75 between December and January, and that is due to strong sales in October (6 homes) falling off.

Above $1m, there were 66 properties listed. The current absorption rate indicated about 2 1/2 years of inventory.  A couple of sales at this level could have a large impact on the Absorption Rates...  We are only showing 3 sales in the last three months, none in January...  The prior year there were 8 sales in the same 3 month period.

 

from LaneBailey.com.  I have a page dedicated to Duluth Market Information

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1 commentLane Bailey - REALTOR & Car Guy • March 14 2010 12:13PM

Duluth GA Market Report for December 2009

The whole year of 2009 was challenging in some segments.  In other segments, it has shown surprising resilience and strength.  It is one of the markets in Gwinnett County, GA, that has shown relative strength, even into the last quarter of 2009.  And it started off fairly strong.

Looking back over the last couple of months for Duluth, GA, the market has moved... but only a little.  The biggest thing has been the First Time Home Buyer Tax Credit.  It has had a GIANT pull on the market, and when it "expired" (it was renewed and expanded before it actually expired, but the effect seemed to expire) it altered the direction of the market... as it did when it was enacted.

Let's knock out a few numbers...

  • There were 527 Listings as of 12/31/2009
  • December currently reports with 57 sales
  • The Absorption Rates for Lawrenceville break down as follows:
    • 12 month average - 9.02 months of inventory
    • 6 month average - 8.30 months of inventory
    • 3 month average - 8.55 months of inventory

The link above explains Absorption Rates more fully, but basically, it tells us how long it would take to sell all of the property on the market at the current rate.

Sales for Duluth in December were up 5.6% compared to December 2008.  This was after November was up 54.8% year over year.  Days on Market also decreased by 23 days to 87 days.  One thing to keep in mind though is that there may still be sales that are unreported. 

By Segment...

The market is divided up into six segments.

Under $200k...

There were 147 listings and 28 sales in December.  Looking back the 12mo/6mo/3mo Absorption Rates were 5.6/4.9/5.3 months.  I expected the 3mo rate to be a slightly better because of the accelerating sales, but that wasn't the case.  However, since 6 months is considered a balanced market, none of these numbers are bad.  The Under $200k segment is the strongest, but only slightly stronger than the $400k - $600k segment.

$200k - $400k...

There were 163 listings and 14 sales in December.  The 12mo/6mo/3mo Absorption Rates were 8.9/8.6/8.6 months.  I also expected the First Time Home Buyer Tax Credit to have a little more impact on the 3mo rate, but sales remained steady.  The $200k - $400k segment has been pretty consistent in 2009.  Looking back at our historical numbers for the last couple of years, and these are great numbers.

$400k - $600k...

There were 49 listings and 11 sales in December.  The 12mo/6mo/3mo Absorption Rates were 7.1/7.4/5.7 months.  This segment shouldn't have been affected by the tax credit as lower priced homes. I was a little surprised at the way the sales picked up in the last quarter.  However, since this is a fairly affluent area, I shouldn't have been shocked by the numbers.

$600k - $800k, $800k - $1m and Over $1m...

There were a total of 168 listings and 83 sales in the last 12 months.  The Absorption Rates can be calculated, but they really aren't meaningful.  A couple of extra or missed sales make a big swing in the data.  Also, these homes are not likely to be affected by the old tax credit or the newer expanded tax credit.

 

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0 commentsLane Bailey - REALTOR & Car Guy • January 21 2010 08:52PM