Looking Out From the Garage

Anatomy of a CMA, Part II

In Part I, I detailed just what a CMA was and how how to look at it. 

In this episode, I am going to talk about how is is put together. 

Very carefully.

This is not a science, although there is a bit of science involved.  And any appraiser or agent that tells you otherwise is probably pulling your leg.  There are a few circumstances where value can be pegged hard, but as soon as the properties aren't exactly the same... art is introduced. 

So, your agent is going to assemble the comps in the 4 different catagories.

  • Solds
  • Pendings
  • Actives
  • Expireds and Withdrawns

Here comes the art... and the science...  The next step is to adjust the comps to more closely reflect your home.  Of course, the closer the comps are to the subject, and the more comparable they are, the easier and more accurate the CMA can be.  This is also where agents and sellers tend to disagree. 

Here is where I REALLY break from tradition...

I don't walk in and drop a CMA on the table and then fight for a price I want to list the property at.  Instead, I give the sellers the data, and walk them through a few other key items (absorption rates, inventory, etc.) and help them reach their own decision. 

We talk about marketing, and what they expect from me.  And what I expect from them...  We might even work in visits to some of the other competing listings. 

Price is really just a strategy...

This is what it comes down to.  The price is what gets the property on the "Show List."  The property has to sell itself.  Price point is a marketing strategy.  We don't change the price in order to make people feel better about the property... we change the price so that different buyers will SEE the property. 

Warning <valuable information>

After the property is rejected... it is rejected.  Let's say that Mr & Mrs Buyer run across the Property and the price is $455,000.  They see that it is too much (they think that $450,000 is the most they would spend in the neighborhood), and decide not to look at it.  Later, Mr & Mrs Seller drop the price to $440,000.  The vast majority of the time, Mr & Mrs Buyer won't revisit the decision to even look at the Property.  It is old hat, and has been rejected. 

The effectiveness of the price reduction is to get it in front of new people.  In this case, Mr & Mrs Newbuyer might see the property in their search for the first time... since they had a criteria limit at $450,000, and the new price is below that. 

And we can also see that $452,500 would not have accomplished that. 

And neither would a selling bonus to the Selling Broker. 

The bottom line is that the price is going to be set by the market.  Not the agent, and not alone by the seller... or the buyer.  The goal is to make the price part of a winning strategy to get the home sold.

Find YOUR Dream HomeWhat's YOUR Home Worth?How's the Market?

Unless otherwise noted, all content of this blog is the property of Lane Bailey, ©2012 Lane Bailey. 

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4 commentsLane Bailey - REALTOR & Car Guy • May 24 2008 08:18PM

Anatomy of a CMA, Part I

Pretty much ANY real estate agent you use... with the exception of some of the limited service brokers that just put your listing on the MLS when your credit card payment clears... perform some sort of CMA on your property prior to listing. 

But what IS a CMA?

That is a great question, and there are a few answers... depending on local tradition.

The C could be Comparative, Competitive, Comparable, Current... I think some people just pick something and run with it because it starts with a C.

The M is almost always Market.

And finally, the A is almost always Analysis

Of note are words that should NOT be connected wit ha CMA done by a real estate agent...

  • Certified - By whom would be the question I would ask...
  • Marketing - That should be a completely different portion of the conversation...
  • Appraisal - Unless the agent is a licensed appraiser, they are not allowed to call the CMA or anything else an appraisal. 

Some of the ones I've seen should really be called Completely Meaningless Anomaly.  Rather than pulling comparable properties based on the criteria a buyer might use when comparing properties, the agent uses the CMA to confirm a pre-determined price.  In some cases it is to make the seller feel that their price is justified.  In other cases it is to make the sellers feel their price is NOT justified.  In either event, instead of letting the comps show the value, the comps are selected to derive a value.

So, how should we look at a CMA?

Honestly.  Seriously.  Completely. 

Let's start with honestly.  Look at the comps.  Back personal tastes and preferences out of the mix.  That is very difficult, but things like giant flower wallpaper in the bathrooms DOES NOT add a lot of value.  Even if it was expensive.  Likewise the shag carpet.  And (I hate to say this) the 11 car garage... for the otherwise $350k property.  Most buyers aren't going to add a lot of value. 

That is not to say that the right buyers won't add value for those features  Just not the value you might want to derive from them. 

And moving to seriously...  Most agents have some idea of what buyers are looking for.  Agents that spend time with buyers have the best track on their tastes.  Even if you know that you don't want to work with an agent, work to understand their methodology.  Even a junky CMA can have some great tidbits... if they are recognizable. 

Each different section of information has something important.  Let's look at each type of listing information.

  • Solds - These are the ones that most agents place the most emphasis on.  These are the properties that have sold and closed.  The strength of the Sold Listings is that they represent actual market prices that were paid.  The weakness is that they represent sales that are old...  In the current market, even 30 days may be old.  And the closed sales represent deals that were negotiated at least a month ago.  More likely six months or a year... or more. 
  • Pendings - The great thing about pendings is that they are generally fresher.  The problem is that we don't know the details until they close... 30 days or more generally after the deal was accepted. 
  • Active Listings - Know your competition. 
  • Expireds and Withdrawn Listings - These are the ones that were rejected by thge market. 

You may or may not know this, but I just turned the CMA on it's head. 

Stay tuned for Part II

Find YOUR Dream HomeWhat's YOUR Home Worth?How's the Market?

Unless otherwise noted, all content of this blog is the property of Lane Bailey, ©2012 Lane Bailey. 

I'd love to hear from you...

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0 commentsLane Bailey - REALTOR & Car Guy • May 24 2008 07:55PM