Looking Out From the Garage: December 2010

Renovation RoI Revisited...

Sectional-type overhead garage doors in the st...
Image via Wikipedia

Just last week I wrote a post highlighting the results of the Remodeling Magazine's Cost vs. Value study.  And in this month's Realtor® Magazine, the newest results are published.  The reason I like this particular study is that it breaks down the results by region.  It would be great to break it down further to metro area... and then maybe ZIP code... and possibly subdivision... or even street... but that isn't happening.  Region is good.

The numbers for the Southeast are interesting. The Top 5 Renovations for Return on Investment (RoI) are:

  • Mid-range entry door (steel) - 135.5%
  • Mid-range garage door - 91.6%
  • Upscale siding (fiber cement) - 85.4%
  • Mid-range basement remodel - 79.4%
  • Upscale windows (vinyl) - 77.9%

There are a few things to note here...  This is based on average costs and conditions.  Obviously, if there are extenuating circumstances, the RoI could be more or less.  If you are able to do work yourself, the RoI could be much greater.  One of the assumptions here is that a contractor would be hired to do all work.

So, let's look a little deeper...

Mid-range Entry door (steel) - 135.5% The average cost on this renovation is $1098 and the increase in value is $1488.  It is worth noting that a fiberglass door adds more value ($2117), but because of the significantly higher cost ($3348), yields a poorer result (63.2%).  This goes to show that it may be more prudent to NOT splurge.  Much of this is due to "Neighborhood Norms".  If most of the neighborhood has steel doors, and you add a high end wooden or fiberglass door, you might not get the same result as going to a nice steel door.  That isn't to say that using a good grade of steel door wouldn't be wise... powder-coated and rust resistant units will likely maintain their value better than low-bid doors that aren't quite as nice.

Old wooden door at our former garage.
Image via Wikipedia

Mid-range garage door - 91.6% This is a tough one.  The article suggests that an uninsulated, single wall door without windows could provide the highest RoI.  However, adding windows doesn't add tremendously to the cost (maybe $200 on to the stated cost of $1178), but might add a little to the projected RoI ($1079).  Insulation and windows come down to preference and usage.  Those of us that use the garage for more than just a place to park a car really like the additional benefit of an insulated door and windows for natural light.

Upscale siding (fiber cement) - 85.4% The cost of this renovation was averaged at $13,106.  That assumed 1250 square feet of siding, and an average amount of trim.  The Added Value for the fiber cement siding came up to $11,197.  Again, we need to look to what is in the neighborhood, and what is on the house.  Changing out wood siding in good condition won't yield the same result in a neighborhood with brick homes as getting rid of wood siding in bad shape in a neighborhood with lots of homes already upgraded to fiber cement.

Mid-range basement remodel - 79.4% I almost hate to include this one... In my experience, it is rare that a finished basement adds significantly to the value of a home.  It seems that the buyer is always looking for it to be finished differently that the seller has finished it.  However, the existence of a basement DOES add significantly to the value of a home.  The average cost and return from the article are $57,627 and $45,757... which means that you will still be upside-down by almost $12k after doing the renovation.

Upscale windows (vinyl) - 77.9% I was a little surprised about this...  I don't normally think of vinyl windows on upscale homes, but there it is.  The cost was $12,878 and it added a value of $10,027.  There wasn't any additional information regarding style or number of windows for the survey, so I can't comment on that... however, I would assume that the windows would be wood on the inside (stain-grade) with heavy vinyl on the outside.  This would allow for low maintenance while keeping the style of wood inside.  I would also assume that the windows were low E glass and at least double paned.

A couple of important notes...

  • The White House renovation
    Image via Wikipedia

    If you have the capability of doing the work yourself, it can make doing the work financially worthwhile... depending on how much you value your labor.  If it will take 50 hours for you to complete a renovation, and you are saving $500 by doing it yourself, is it worth it for you to "make" $10/hour for your time?

  • Even more that the numbers bear out nationally, in the South Atlantic Region, the renovations that have the best payback all have to do with "Curb Appeal. Doors, windows, siding, garage doors...  The only one that snuck in there that doesn't belong seems to be the basement.  This goes to show that buyers want to be 'wowed' from the moment they step out of the car.  To get sold quickly and for the highest price, curb appeal is key, now more than ever.  You can get down in the gutter and fight it out with the short sales and foreclosures, but many buyers are looking right past those for homes that are "ready to go" rather than "ready to work on".
  • The biggest change, and one that didn't make it anywhere on the list, can be had for little money.  The RoI would be off the charts...  Paint. If your walls are dingy, get out the rollers and paint the interior.  Use modern colors and do the job right.  For just a couple hundred dollars in materials, the value of your home can go up by thousands of dollars.  The impact is HUGE.

Return on Investment for Renovations on LaneBailey.com

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1 commentLane Bailey - REALTOR & Car Guy • December 30 2010 09:19PM

Wayback Wednesday... Looking Ahead to 2009...

Fiat 500 (2007)
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Two years ago this week, I posted up my predictions for the next year.  That year would be 2009.  I got a few right, and got a few wrong.  I was just looking back and I was surprised by them... some were pretty bold.

Here is the original post...

Here is a quick rundown of how I did...

  1. Right
  2. Rightish
  3. Hit that one
  4. Kind of right...
  5. Not so good on that one
  6. That one was good
  7. Nailed that one
  8. Not so much
  9. Got that one pretty right
  10. Hit that one out of the park...
Rundown Shack OF
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On my "bonus predictions"...

  • Red Wings, yes.  Bruins, no.
  • Islanders, yes.  Thrashers... pretty close.
  • Chrysler... bought by Fiat.
  • Saturn, closed.  Hummer, sold.
  • Toyota had a loss for the year.
  • How's that Global Warming working out?

2009 Predictions on LaneBailey.com

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4 commentsLane Bailey - REALTOR & Car Guy • December 29 2010 10:43AM

Buford, GA, Market Report, November 2010

 
 
This map shows the incorporated and unincorpor...
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Market stats for Buford, GA, November, 2010 indicate that there were 584 properties on the market. Overall, there was about an 11.2 month supply of properties.  September was slightly below last year (52 v 60 for 2009).  October was back to the pits (60 v 89 in 2009).  November this year had 44 sales v 67 in 2009.  There were 83 sales in June and an Absorption Rate under 8.5 months.

In the sub-$200k arena, there were 318 listings, with a 9.6 month supply.  October sales were down from 51 in 2009 to 37 this year.  May was the best absorption rate of the year, and it has been going downhill since, but actually got better in October.  It is sliding down again.  Sales for November were 29 this year compared to 40 last year.

Between $200k and $400k, there were 206 listings for sale, and about  11.6 months of supply.  Again, July was the dog, with sales down by 75%.  August, September and October were also down, but the absorption rate improved significantly with July dropping off.  November was off by 35% (13 sales v 20 in 2009).

From $400k to $600k, there were 38 homes on the market. The absorption rate is almost 5 years.  This shouldn't be acting like a high-end luxury segment, but it is.  There have been 2 sales in the last 3 months.  When the market is rolling, there should be 5-7 sales a month during this part of the year.  There were 5 sales in November, 2009... and 1 this year.

DSCN0559
Image by lane.bailey via Flickr

In the $600k to $800k arena, there were 7 listings.  Sales in this range are pretty sporadic, but steady when looking at the long-term.  The drop in inventory over the last few months from 14 homes to 7 homes has made things look less slow… but there have been 3 sales in this segment since last November... but one was this November.

The range from $800k to $1m, there were 5 homes listed. And with only 1 sale in the last year (Feb 10), obviously  trends are hardly definable.  At least listings are down by more than 50% compared to a few months ago (9 listings in June).

Above $1m, there were 11 properties listed.  The last sale in the segment was in April... of 2009... still...

Buford, GA is a suburb of Atlanta in Gwinnett and Hall Counties. The population is 2000 was 10,668, but that only included the area inside the city limits, and it had seen tremendous growth since that census.  Buford is home to Lake Lanier, one of Georgia’s premiere recreational areas, and Lake Lanier Islands.  Recently, the City of Buford has revamped their old town. It is also home to Buford (Buford City Schools aren’t a part of Gwinnett County Schools), Mill Creek, Mountain View and Lanier High School (Lanier will open for the 2010-11 school year).

I have a page dedicated to Buford Market Data.

Buford GA Market Report from LaneBailey.com

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1 commentLane Bailey - REALTOR & Car Guy • December 28 2010 11:43AM

53 Cool Concept Cars... Part XXXV

This is Tinton's 1988 Pontiac Fiero GT. He/she...
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In 1984-88, Pontiac built the only mid-engine production car in the US... the Pontiac Fiero.  It was "sold" to the accountants at GM as a commuter car.  It was light, reasonably inexpensive, and with the 2.5L 'Iron Duke' 4 cylinder it got up to 40mpg on the highway.

Enthusiasts saw the space frame with the plastic panels, light weight and slick looks as a great platform to build on.  But there was a MAJOR problem...

The suspension truly sucked.  The front suspension was largely raided from the parts bin of the lowly Chevette.  The rear suspension was basically the front components from the Chevy Citation.  The suspension did a good job of keeping the car from scraping the ground as it went down the road, but lacked serious sporting intent... and the car just looked like it wanted serious sporting intent.  The available 3 speed automatic transmission was no engineering marvel, either.  It robbed much of the economy the engine gave it...

1987 Pontiac Fiero GT
Image via Wikipedia

But then...

... came late 1987.  The suspension was redesigned.  The GT had actual handling befitting the attractive looks.

The way to get one was either the GT or the Formula Fiero with a 5 speed.  Either of those came with the 2.8L V-6.  They could get the new WS6 suspension.  And they were both pretty... with the Formula getting a little nod for being slightly lighter.  Those very late 87s and 1988 cars also had better brakes and revised steering...

The "Mera" kit, pictured on the yellow car, was only available on GTs in 1987.  Ferrari put a stop to them that year... the kits were actually installed by many Pontiac dealers.

But, why build a concept if we aren't going to tweak it a little?

INTERIOR OF AN 1988 FIERO FORMULA Category:Ima...
Image via Wikipedia

So, let's make a few changes.  Not much, because the car was actually quite nice in 1988 trim.  So, if we pick up a 1988 Fiero GT, it will do nicely...

  • We want more than 140hp, so let's drop in a Cadillac Northstar V8.  The 2004 STS had a 4.6L L37 with 300hp... that is more than twice the power of the stock engine.
  • The transaxle would likely be the 4 speed automatic from the same car...
  • The interior of the Fiero is pretty attractive as it sits.  But that doesn't mean that a nice pair of racing seats and a little carbon fiber might not be a nice addition... I was never really fond of the brushed aluminum.
  • The "cage" around which the car is designed could also be strengthened.
  • The Mera kits were only on 1987s... but why not drop one on a 1988 car?  And paint it black.  VERY black.
  • To continue the theme of black, the wheels could be black as well.

That would make a pretty cool update of a classic...  And it is really hard for me to wrap my head around the fact that 1988 is 22 years ago... and that cars that I could have purchased new can be called classics.

53 Cool Concept Cars from LaneBailey.com

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3 commentsLane Bailey - REALTOR & Car Guy • December 26 2010 12:12PM

Achieve...

Burroughs poses with Thomas Edison and Henry F...
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For Christmas, I thought I would talk a little bit about gifts... and one that you might consider giving.  Give a kid a Junior Achievement experience.  For free...

Yes, I said FREE...

Sure, you can donate some cash to Junior Achievement, but what the kids REALLY need is adults that will come in to the classrooms and deliver the material.  Seriously... this takes an hour a week (plus commute time), or just one day if you do the "JA in a Day" program.

There are programs for kids from Kindergarten up through High School.  They cover topics ranging from where goods come from to business ethics.  For the last two school years I have been presenting a program to 5th graders.  It is an amazing amount of fun. And despite what you may hear, the kids are incredibly engaged and curious.  We talk about entrepreneurship and how businesses play to their strengths... and how businesses interact with each other.

We have talked about everything from Henry Ford to Phineas & Ferb.  The secret seems to be to find things that the kids can identify with (cartoons and cars work for me...) and then use those to bring the lessons home.

Ms Adames ClassBut there is another cool secret...  The kids will LOVE having you in the class because you are different. You aren't the adults that they see every other day of the school year...

Sure, JA could use a monetary donation, but what the kids REALLY need is you.  Business people, entrepreneurs, creative folks.  The kids need you to introduce them to business, and show them how people like you make their lives better every single day.

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10 commentsLane Bailey - REALTOR & Car Guy • December 25 2010 10:13PM

Flashback Friday... Getting the Most for Your Renovation Dollar

FEMA - 125 - Photograph by Dave Gatley taken o...
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Do you know anyone that just likes to throw time, money and energy at a home renovation project, without a care for the value added?  I sure don't.  In fact, almost everyone I know is looking for ways to maximize the value of the dollars they spend renovating.

Last year, I wrote about a study from the National Association of Realtors® which detailed the average costs and RoI (Return on Investment) for various renovations.  It was even broken down by region.

I'll give you the spoiler...  Replacing the front door actually is the winner, and by a wide margin.  The correct replacement averages an RoI of 146.8%.  It makes sense, since curb appeal is a major selling point, and first impressions are greatly affected by the front door.

One thing to keep in mind, though...

Renovate to fit your lifestyle and taste...

Don't ignore resale value, but understand that almost nobody will have exactly the same tastes.  I'm always saddened when I see people renovate their whole house just before putting it on the market.  The $20k, $30k, $50 or more that they sunk into the house becomes worth half or less in resale value.

So, do the work and then live in it to get enjoyment from it.

Updating can be a slightly different story, but I would still counsel not to wait until sale time to get the work done.  Do it, enjoy it and then sell it...

Jump in the Flashback machine and look at the original post...  146.8% RoI for a real Estate Improvement?

Renovation Return on Investment on LaneBailey.com

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1 commentLane Bailey - REALTOR & Car Guy • December 25 2010 10:08PM

Wayback Wednesday... Fear/Greed and "the Deal"

Figure 20 from Charles Darwin's The Expression...
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Two years ago, we were in the midst of the financial system meltdown.  real estate was looking bleak... and so was everything else.  Unemployment hadn't really reared its ugly head.  It was swirling up, but still seemed manageable.

So, I thought that a blog about market psychology was in order...  And this isn't just real estate.  The same holds true for any kind of market.

Fear and Greed

Those are the emotions that drive ALL markets.  Stop into the old post and take a look at the background.

In a nutshell, when fear overruns greed, markets expand.  When greed overtakes fear, markets contract.  Many are still fearing.  The market hasn't recovered.  As the bubble was inflating, there was little fear... greed had full run of the emotional mind.

The markets will recover, barring some massive calamity like the currency market collapsing.  People just have to start being more greedy than fearful.

We need to keep a little of that fear in the back of our mind, too.  It will keep away the next bubble a little longer.

Fear and Greed on LaneBailey.com

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3 commentsLane Bailey - REALTOR & Car Guy • December 22 2010 10:31PM

Sugar Hill, GA, Market Report, November 2010

This map shows the incorporated and unincorpor...
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Market stats for Sugar Hill, GA , October, 2010 indicate that there are 239 properties on the market. Overall, there is about an 12.3 month supply of properties.  Sales have been fairly steady since July, but inventories have been rising.

In the sub-$200k arena, there are 160 listings, with under 13.3 months supply.  Sales are also about 65% of the level last year over the last three months.  Sales appear to be decelerating, but perked up for October... still down 10 v 17 compared to last year.

Between $200k and $400k, there are 67 listings for sale, and about 13.4 months of supply.  As recently as May, there was only a 6.75 month supply.  September was better than August, but still pretty weak overall.  October was weaker yet... But November was looking better...

From $400k to $600k, there are 8 homes on the market. The absorption rate is around 24 months, but with 1 sale in the last 6 months, it is tough to calculate accurately.  Obviously, a sale or two could make a BIG difference.  There have only been 3 sales in this segment this year.  Last year there were almost twice as many sales in this price range.

Georgia state route marker. Signs use FHWA typ...
Image via Wikipedia

In the $600k to $800k, $800k to $1m and Above $1m (combined), the sales are too inconsistent to have a solid read on, but there are only 3 homes listed for sale in that price range.  No sales have been recorded in the last 18 months or so.

Sugar Hill, GA is a suburb of Atlanta in Gwinnett County. The population is 2000 was 11,399, but that only included the area inside the city limits.  The name comes from a bag of Sugar that spilled on a hill while in transit between Cumming and the railroad in Buford.  And while it is actually a big market, it is in the shadows of Lawrenceville, Duluth and Suwanee… which all are nearby.  That also makes it a great location, as it is close to everything that Gwinnett County, GA has to offer.

I have a page dedicated to Sugar Hill Market Data.

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0 commentsLane Bailey - REALTOR & Car Guy • December 21 2010 09:33PM

Suwanee, GA, Market Report, November 2010

This map shows the incorporated and unincorpor...
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Market stats for Suwanee, GA, November, 2010 indicate that there are 582 properties on the market. Overall, there is about an 10.9 month supply of properties.  There was less that 8 months of inventory as recently as June.  Even though inventories are down since then, sales are also down.

In the Under $200k arena, there are 156 listings in Suwanee, GA, with about a 8.5 month supply.  In June, there was a 4.8 month supply.  Inventories have increased, until September, as sales have slowed... October sales were down from 27 last year to 22 this year.  For November, there were 15 sales this year and 21 last year.

Between $200k and $400k, there are 285 listings for sale, and 9.8 months of supply.  Sales for September 2010 were 30 compared with 39 for the same period in 2009.  Still weak, but much better than last month.  For October, sales were down from 53 last year v 31 this year.  November continued the (poor) trend with 26 sales v 41 last year.

From $400k to $600k, there are 75 homes on the market. The absorption rate is at 18.7 months.  There were 4 sales this year... dwarfed by the 10 last year.  Even looking at the three month average, there were 12 sales this year and 26 for the same period last year.

Georgia state route marker. Signs use FHWA typ...
Image via Wikipedia

In the $600k to $800k arena, there are 28 listings, with about a 42 month supply.  Sales at this level are not consistent.  Looking at one month makes the numbers jump.  For the last three months, sales were 2...  For the sale time last year, the sales were 9.

The range from $800k to $1m, there are 13 homes listed and approximately 4+ years of inventory on the market.  There has only been 3 sales at this price level this year (1 each in January, April and May).  Honestly, last year looked a little better, but not much.

In Suwanee, GA, Above $1m, there are 25 properties listed. The current absorption rate indicated about 18.8 months of inventory, but because of the smaller numbers of sales, this could be significantly impacted by just a couple of sales.  Again, we can thank reduced inventory for making the market look healthier (4 sales in Sept-Nov both this year and last).  But, in this segment, we should be seeing reduced inventories...  There were 45 homes listed in this segment at this time last year.

Suwanee, GA is a suburb of Atlanta in Gwinnett, Forsyth and (just a little bit) in Fulton Counties. The population is 2000 was 8,725, but that only included the area inside the city limits, and it had seen tremendous growth since that census.  Money Magazine rated Suwanee in the “Top 10 Best Places to Live” in 2007, and it is one of the wealthiest parts of Georgia. Recently, the City of Suwanee has revamped their old town, adding a large park with a bandshell, condos, town homes and small businesses. It is also home to North Gwinnett High School, Peachtree Ridge and Collins Hill.

I have a page dedicated to Suwanee Market Data.

Suwanee GA Mrket Report on LaneBailey.com

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1 commentLane Bailey - REALTOR & Car Guy • December 20 2010 08:59PM

53 Cool Concepts... Part XXXIV

Santa's Sleigh
Image by camknows via Flickr

Before you know it, Christmas will be here... and gone.  So, since many of us still have trips to the store to help Santa deliver the goods, I thought it might be fun to hot rod Santa's Sleigh...  Let's think about this for a minute.  That sleigh HAS to be a pretty technologically advanced piece of hardware.  It carries a MASSIVE amount of toys, is incredibly fast and has a planet-eating range.

Let's cover the load, first...

In order to keep the size and weight manageable, maybe we could install a cross dimensional portal in the backseat.  That would allow it to be continuously refilled by the elves at the North Pole, while Santa runs his deliveries.  After each stop, when Santa drops the bag in the seat, it is in both the seat AND Santa's North Pole workshop.

And for speed...

Those "Eight Tiny Reindeer" have been doing a great job... and I'm sure that when Rudolph joins the team, he adds a significant boost as well.  With the weight reduction from the cross dimensional portal handling the presents, there should be a giant improvement to the acceleration, braking and cornering of the sleigh.  Maybe a little Red Bull every once in a while in order to fight the fatigue...

And then there is a range...

Obviously, the Reindeer have been making the trip, but if the power is upped, there is a good chance that their fuel usage will increase as well.  Even with the weight reduction, we HAVE to maintain a safety margin "for the good of the children."  So, in addition to the Red Bull, maybe they could use a burrito from Moe's.  Of course, Santa might really think about a windshield...

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3 commentsLane Bailey - REALTOR & Car Guy • December 19 2010 08:01PM